Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Jooris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Jooris 48.0% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 56.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 65.4%
Neutral zone
Kelly 63.8%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Kelly
Jooris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kelly
Jooris
Last 6: Kelly 4-2 Jooris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Jooris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Jooris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Jooris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Jooris
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
48.6% (1,221)
+2.5%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
61.0% (41)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
39.4% (175)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jooris shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Kelly shoots left. Jooris is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Home / Away
Kelly
Jooris
Home
52.6% (1,965)
49.0% (786)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
46.4% (651)
By Period
Kelly
Jooris
P1
49.2%
47.5%
P2
49.1%
44.3%
P3
51.9%
51.3%
OT
53.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 1 | 06:55 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 03:56 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |