Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Jokinen 54.0% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 12-12 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 72.2%
Defensive zone
Kelly 71.8%
Neutral zone
Kelly 51.3%
Result
Jussi Jokinen favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Kelly
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
12
(24 meetings)
12
12
Kelly
Jokinen
Last 10: Kelly 6-4 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Kelly
Jokinen
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Jokinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
6
7
Kelly
Jokinen
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
53.8% (1,931)
-2.7%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
55.9% (506)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
54.5% (279)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Jokinen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,735).
Home / Away
Kelly
Jokinen
Home
52.6% (1,965)
57.8% (1,369)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
50.4% (1,357)
By Period
Kelly
Jokinen
P1
49.2%
53.4%
P2
49.1%
54.4%
P3
51.9%
53.7%
OT
53.5%
66.1%
Final 5 min
50.3%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 14:46 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 15:34 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 11:48 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 4, 2014 | OT | 01:22 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 17:56 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 05:14 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 3 | 08:55 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 10:13 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 06:15 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 1 | 09:10 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 14:53 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Oct 12, 2011 | 3 | 02:23 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |