Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 51.6% vs Turris 47.1% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Turris leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 60.1%
Defensive zone
Turris 52.6%
Neutral zone
Turris 54.2%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Kelly
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Kelly
Turris
Last 10: Kelly 4-6 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
3
Kelly
Turris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
1
3
Kelly
Turris
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
1
Kelly
Turris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (686)
46.6% (614)
+4.7%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
49.0% (98)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (92)
40.0% (10)
+10.0%
On power play, Kelly has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Kelly is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Kelly shoots left. Turris is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Kelly
Turris
Home
52.3% (388)
50.3% (352)
Away
51.3% (421)
43.4% (371)
By Period
Kelly
Turris
P1
50.0%
48.1%
P2
51.7%
45.8%
P3
53.0%
46.5%
OT
61.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.8%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 16:52 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |