Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kelly wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 48.8% vs Turris 50.1% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 83.4%
Defensive zone
Turris 62.0%
Neutral zone
Turris 70.3%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 72.3%
27.7%
72.3%
Kelly
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Kelly
Turris
Last 10: Kelly 8-2 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
2
Kelly
Turris
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
5
0
Kelly
Turris
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Turris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (433)
49.4% (1,154)
+0.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
57.6% (217)
-29.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (99)
41.6% (101)
+3.9%
On power play, Turris has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Kelly is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (210).
Kelly shoots left. Turris is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Home / Away
Kelly
Turris
Home
53.9% (297)
54.7% (760)
Away
42.1% (242)
45.1% (712)
By Period
Kelly
Turris
P1
45.4%
54.1%
P2
46.1%
50.2%
P3
54.3%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
61.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
48.6%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2015 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 12:55 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 03:33 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 13, 2014 | OT | 02:41 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 15:38 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 09:46 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 1 | 07:56 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |