Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Couture 48.3% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Couture leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 60.2%
Defensive zone
Couture 52.2%
Neutral zone
Couture 55.6%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Kelly
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Kelly
Couture
Last 10: Kelly 2-8 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
3
Kelly
Couture
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Couture
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
2
4
Kelly
Couture
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
48.8% (8,919)
+2.3%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
54.6% (624)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
39.8% (992)
+4.9%
On power play, Kelly has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Home / Away
Kelly
Couture
Home
52.6% (1,965)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Kelly
Couture
P1
49.2%
47.9%
P2
49.1%
47.9%
P3
51.9%
49.2%
OT
53.5%
48.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2016 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 1 | 17:42 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 2, 2010 | 3 | 02:46 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |