Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 51.4%). Look for Couture on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 51.6% vs Couture 51.3% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 59.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 63.0%
Neutral zone
Couture 51.3%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Kelly
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kelly
Couture
Last 6: Kelly 2-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
3
Kelly
Couture
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Couture
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Couture
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (686)
51.4% (775)
-0.1%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
59.0% (78)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (92)
39.1% (46)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Kelly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Kelly shoots left. Couture is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Kelly
Couture
Home
52.3% (388)
53.3% (407)
Away
51.3% (421)
49.9% (503)
By Period
Kelly
Couture
P1
50.0%
49.8%
P2
51.7%
53.3%
P3
53.0%
51.2%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.8%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |