Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 45.4% vs Glendening 53.4% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Glendening 69.4%
Defensive zone
Glendening 93.0%
Neutral zone
Glendening 82.7%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 86.9%
13.1%
86.9%
Kelly
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kelly
Glendening
Last 5: Kelly 4-1 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Glendening
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
0
Kelly
Glendening
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (373)
55.5% (407)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (128)
48.7% (150)
-12.8%
On penalty kill, Glendening has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Kelly is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Kelly shoots left. Glendening is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Kelly
Glendening
Home
47.5% (259)
56.6% (316)
Away
41.3% (242)
50.8% (252)
By Period
Kelly
Glendening
P1
46.7%
44.9%
P2
42.9%
56.8%
P3
43.4%
60.3%
Final 5 min
42.2%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.5%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 11:43 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 00:15 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |