Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Kelly wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Letestu 52.1% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Letestu leads 17-16 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Letestu 51.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 54.6%
Neutral zone
Kelly 53.4%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Kelly
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
17
(33 meetings)
16
17
Kelly
Letestu
Last 10: Kelly 6-4 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
5
4
Kelly
Letestu
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
8
6
Kelly
Letestu
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
3
7
Kelly
Letestu
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
53.3% (4,565)
-2.2%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
56.0% (687)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
44.2% (1,005)
+0.5%
On power play, Kelly has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Kelly shoots left. Letestu is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Home / Away
Kelly
Letestu
Home
52.6% (1,965)
54.0% (3,024)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
50.4% (3,249)
By Period
Kelly
Letestu
P1
49.2%
51.5%
P2
49.1%
55.0%
P3
51.9%
49.8%
OT
53.5%
51.8%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 10:59 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 01:58 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 05:12 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |