Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 45.4% vs Letestu 50.4% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 74.8%
Defensive zone
Letestu 92.3%
Neutral zone
Letestu 80.9%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 83.6%
16.4%
83.6%
Kelly
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Kelly
Letestu
Last 8: Kelly 6-2 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
0
Kelly
Letestu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kelly
Letestu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (373)
50.9% (582)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (128)
45.0% (189)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Letestu has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Kelly is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Kelly shoots left. Letestu is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (669).
Home / Away
Kelly
Letestu
Home
47.5% (259)
48.5% (423)
Away
41.3% (242)
52.2% (473)
By Period
Kelly
Letestu
P1
46.7%
54.0%
P2
42.9%
50.5%
P3
43.4%
46.9%
Final 5 min
42.2%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.5%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 10:59 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |