Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Hanzal 53.7% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Hanzal leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 55.3%
Defensive zone
Kelly 78.9%
Neutral zone
Kelly 67.6%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Kelly
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Kelly
Hanzal
Last 10: Kelly 3-7 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
1
Kelly
Hanzal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
2
4
Kelly
Hanzal
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
3
7
Kelly
Hanzal
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
54.0% (5,547)
-2.9%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
56.7% (1,179)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
46.0% (644)
-1.3%
On power play, Kelly has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Hanzal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,731).
Home / Away
Kelly
Hanzal
Home
52.6% (1,965)
55.1% (3,687)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
52.3% (3,704)
By Period
Kelly
Hanzal
P1
49.2%
54.9%
P2
49.1%
53.6%
P3
51.9%
52.4%
OT
53.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 10:07 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 06:18 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 05:41 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 01:25 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 15:21 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |