Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kelly wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 48.8% vs Hanzal 55.6% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 83.2%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 70.3%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 81.4%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 78.8%
21.2%
78.8%
Kelly
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kelly
Hanzal
Last 8: Kelly 5-3 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Hanzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Hanzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
2
3
Kelly
Hanzal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (433)
57.5% (504)
-7.8%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
58.8% (51)
-30.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (99)
45.6% (57)
-0.1%
On power play, Hanzal has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Kelly is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Kelly shoots left. Hanzal is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Kelly
Hanzal
Home
53.9% (297)
59.7% (288)
Away
42.1% (242)
53.7% (324)
By Period
Kelly
Hanzal
P1
45.4%
57.1%
P2
46.1%
56.5%
P3
54.3%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
53.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
48.6%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 05:41 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 01:25 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |