Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Hendricks 53.3% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 51.9%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 51.8%
Neutral zone
Kelly 50.1%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Kelly
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kelly
Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Hendricks
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
0
1
Kelly
Hendricks
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
55.0% (1,616)
-3.9%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
52.6% (38)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
48.4% (446)
-3.7%
On power play, Kelly has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Hendricks is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,233).
Home / Away
Kelly
Hendricks
Home
52.6% (1,965)
52.6% (1,023)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
54.3% (1,080)
By Period
Kelly
Hendricks
P1
49.2%
53.2%
P2
49.1%
53.3%
P3
51.9%
53.6%
OT
53.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |