Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 49.4%). Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Stajan 49.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 55.5%
Defensive zone
Stajan 55.9%
Neutral zone
Stajan 52.3%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Kelly
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
14
(20 meetings)
6
14
Kelly
Stajan
Last 10: Kelly 2-8 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
2
Kelly
Stajan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
8
Kelly
Stajan
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
4
Kelly
Stajan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
50.2% (4,944)
+0.9%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
43.2% (176)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
46.1% (864)
-1.4%
On power play, Kelly has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Home / Away
Kelly
Stajan
Home
52.6% (1,965)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Kelly
Stajan
P1
49.2%
50.3%
P2
49.1%
48.5%
P3
51.9%
49.4%
OT
53.5%
53.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 1 | 16:26 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 1 | 08:30 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 16:35 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 3 | 02:31 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 3 | 02:15 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 3 | 02:01 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |