Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kelly wins 61.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 56.2% vs Zibanejad 47.2% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 75.8%
Defensive zone
Kelly 82.1%
Neutral zone
Kelly 62.7%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Kelly
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kelly
Zibanejad
Last 5: Kelly 3-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Kelly
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
1
Kelly
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (298)
46.7% (285)
+12.0%
Power Play
100.0% (8)
45.6% (57)
+54.4%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (67)
0.0% (1)
+49.3%
On power play, Kelly has a +54.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Kelly is 61.7% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Kelly shoots left. Zibanejad is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Kelly
Zibanejad
Home
60.0% (200)
45.4% (163)
Away
55.5% (173)
47.2% (180)
By Period
Kelly
Zibanejad
P1
55.9%
43.7%
P2
58.4%
48.6%
P3
60.9%
46.9%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
57.9%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2013 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 11, 2013 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 11, 2013 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 28, 2013 | OT | 01:00 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |