Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Kelly wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Fisher 51.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Fisher 83.3%
Defensive zone
Fisher 63.6%
Neutral zone
Fisher 70.5%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Kelly
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Kelly
Fisher
Last 10: Kelly 7-3 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
2
4
Kelly
Fisher
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
6
1
Kelly
Fisher
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
5
1
Kelly
Fisher
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
51.4% (6,100)
-0.3%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
53.8% (1,126)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
48.8% (781)
-4.1%
On power play, Kelly has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Kelly shoots left. Fisher is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,543).
Home / Away
Kelly
Fisher
Home
52.6% (1,965)
52.4% (4,113)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
50.6% (3,922)
By Period
Kelly
Fisher
P1
49.2%
49.6%
P2
49.1%
52.8%
P3
51.9%
52.2%
OT
53.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 08:15 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 01:48 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 11, 2012 | OT | 00:16 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 10:59 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |