Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kelly wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 48.8% vs Fisher 52.1% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fisher 88.3%
Defensive zone
Fisher 60.8%
Neutral zone
Fisher 75.7%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Kelly
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kelly
Fisher
Last 7: Kelly 5-2 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
1
Kelly
Fisher
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
1
Kelly
Fisher
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Fisher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (433)
51.7% (845)
-2.0%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
54.3% (210)
-25.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (99)
53.2% (94)
-7.7%
On power play, Fisher has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Kelly is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (210).
Kelly shoots left. Fisher is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Kelly
Fisher
Home
53.9% (297)
54.4% (572)
Away
42.1% (242)
50.3% (577)
By Period
Kelly
Fisher
P1
45.4%
50.4%
P2
46.1%
52.8%
P3
54.3%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
48.6%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 01:48 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |