Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 58.7%
Defensive zone
Kelly 92.2%
Neutral zone
Kelly 80.6%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Kelly
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Kelly
Ribeiro
Last 10: Kelly 5-5 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
2
3
Kelly
Ribeiro
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
5
1
Kelly
Ribeiro
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
3
Kelly
Ribeiro
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
42.9% (4,887)
+8.2%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
45.6% (930)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
33.3% (147)
+11.4%
On power play, Kelly has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Home / Away
Kelly
Ribeiro
Home
52.6% (1,965)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
Kelly
Ribeiro
P1
49.2%
42.6%
P2
49.1%
44.3%
P3
51.9%
41.8%
OT
53.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 02:35 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 16, 2014 | OT | 03:17 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 2 | 10:06 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 16:06 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 15:46 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |