Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.8% vs Richards 49.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 69.3%
Defensive zone
Richards 56.0%
Neutral zone
Richards 56.8%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Kelly
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Kelly
Richards
Last 8: Kelly 6-2 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Richards
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Richards
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
0
Kelly
Richards
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (723)
47.9% (943)
+4.0%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
61.1% (157)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (166)
52.9% (102)
-6.5%
On power play, Richards has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Kelly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Kelly shoots left. Richards is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Home / Away
Kelly
Richards
Home
53.8% (442)
50.9% (617)
Away
48.1% (474)
48.7% (599)
By Period
Kelly
Richards
P1
50.2%
45.4%
P2
47.6%
52.5%
P3
54.5%
51.3%
OT
85.7%
55.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 16:17 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |