Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 51.6% vs Santorelli 46.2% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 57.4%
Defensive zone
Kelly 84.6%
Neutral zone
Kelly 71.4%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Kelly
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kelly
Santorelli
Last 6: Kelly 4-2 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
1
2
Kelly
Santorelli
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
0
Kelly
Santorelli
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (686)
45.1% (348)
+6.2%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
42.4% (33)
+26.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (92)
0.0% (3)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Kelly is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Kelly shoots left. Santorelli is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Kelly
Santorelli
Home
52.3% (388)
49.5% (188)
Away
51.3% (421)
41.3% (201)
By Period
Kelly
Santorelli
P1
50.0%
48.8%
P2
51.7%
40.7%
P3
53.0%
47.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.8%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 02:13 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 1 | 05:56 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 1 | 18:14 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |