Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kelly wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Grabovski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 56.2% vs Grabovski 50.5% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 63.8%
Defensive zone
Kelly 88.4%
Neutral zone
Kelly 78.1%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Kelly
Grabovski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Kelly
Grabovski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
0
Kelly
Grabovski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Grabovski
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (298)
51.9% (568)
+6.8%
Power Play
100.0% (8)
39.1% (69)
+60.9%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (67)
100.0% (1)
-50.7%
On power play, Kelly has a +60.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grabovski shoots left. Kelly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Kelly shoots left. Grabovski is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (373).
Home / Away
Kelly
Grabovski
Home
60.0% (200)
51.6% (318)
Away
55.5% (173)
49.7% (320)
By Period
Kelly
Grabovski
P1
55.9%
52.6%
P2
58.4%
49.5%
P3
60.9%
50.5%
OT
37.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
60.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
57.9%
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |