Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Antropov 45.3% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 50.8%
Defensive zone
Kelly 85.3%
Neutral zone
Kelly 73.3%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Kelly
Antropov
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Kelly
Antropov
Last 10: Kelly 6-4 Antropov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Antropov
0
3
Kelly
Antropov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
5
0
Kelly
Antropov
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
2
Kelly
Antropov
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Antropov
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
45.7% (1,209)
+5.4%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
45.5% (191)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
39.0% (77)
+5.7%
On power play, Kelly has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Antropov shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Antropov is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Kelly
Antropov
Home
52.6% (1,965)
48.0% (704)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
42.4% (786)
By Period
Kelly
Antropov
P1
49.2%
42.8%
P2
49.1%
47.0%
P3
51.9%
45.6%
OT
53.5%
38.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Antropov
42.0%▲
39.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 21, 2013 | OT | 03:32 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 05:24 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 14:15 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 16:38 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 3 | 08:33 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 2 | 09:12 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |