Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 51.6% vs Antropov 44.3% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 55.9%
Defensive zone
Kelly 82.9%
Neutral zone
Kelly 75.3%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Kelly
Antropov
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kelly
Antropov
Last 6: Kelly 4-2 Antropov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Antropov
0
1
Kelly
Antropov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Antropov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
1
Kelly
Antropov
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Antropov
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (686)
43.8% (486)
+7.5%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
49.4% (87)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (92)
38.6% (70)
+11.4%
On power play, Kelly has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Antropov shoots left. Kelly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Kelly shoots left. Antropov is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (458).
Home / Away
Kelly
Antropov
Home
52.3% (388)
45.5% (323)
Away
51.3% (421)
41.3% (329)
By Period
Kelly
Antropov
P1
50.0%
45.0%
P2
51.7%
45.5%
P3
53.0%
40.5%
OT
61.5%
22.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.8%
Antropov
42.0%▲
39.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 14:15 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 16:38 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |