Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Jokinen 46.4% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 52.2%
Defensive zone
Kelly 80.8%
Neutral zone
Kelly 68.7%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Kelly
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Kelly
Jokinen
Last 10: Kelly 6-4 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kelly
Jokinen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Jokinen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
1
Kelly
Jokinen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
45.8% (3,924)
+5.3%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
50.8% (585)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
42.9% (247)
+1.8%
On power play, Kelly has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Home / Away
Kelly
Jokinen
Home
52.6% (1,965)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Kelly
Jokinen
P1
49.2%
45.6%
P2
49.1%
47.5%
P3
51.9%
45.4%
OT
53.5%
56.1%
Final 5 min
50.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 10:57 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 01:43 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 11:52 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |