Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.8% vs Jokinen 47.6% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 55.3%
Defensive zone
Kelly 78.7%
Neutral zone
Kelly 72.3%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Kelly
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kelly
Jokinen
Last 5: Kelly 4-1 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
1
Kelly
Jokinen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Jokinen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (723)
46.4% (924)
+5.5%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
51.3% (197)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (166)
48.4% (31)
-2.0%
On even strength, Kelly has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Kelly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Kelly shoots left. Jokinen is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Kelly
Jokinen
Home
53.8% (442)
47.1% (537)
Away
48.1% (474)
47.6% (628)
By Period
Kelly
Jokinen
P1
50.2%
45.3%
P2
47.6%
49.9%
P3
54.5%
46.5%
OT
85.7%
53.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 11:52 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |