Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Elias 42.7% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 79.2%
Defensive zone
Kelly 94.7%
Neutral zone
Kelly 93.2%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 91.7%
91.7%
8.3%
Kelly
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
3
(15 meetings)
12
3
Kelly
Elias
Last 10: Kelly 8-2 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Elias
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
0
Kelly
Elias
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
6
3
Kelly
Elias
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
42.3% (2,591)
+8.8%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
48.4% (405)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
36.0% (367)
+8.7%
On power play, Kelly has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Kelly
Elias
Home
52.6% (1,965)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Kelly
Elias
P1
49.2%
41.1%
P2
49.1%
43.1%
P3
51.9%
43.0%
OT
53.5%
43.2%
Final 5 min
50.3%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2014 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 3 | 10:05 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 06:48 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |