Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Niedermayer on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Niedermayer 47.6% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Niedermayer 74.3%
Defensive zone
Kelly 51.1%
Neutral zone
Niedermayer 54.8%
Result
Rob Niedermayer favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Kelly
Niedermayer
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kelly
Niedermayer
Last 7: Kelly 2-5 Niedermayer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Niedermayer
0
4
Kelly
Niedermayer
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Niedermayer
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Niedermayer
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
48.1% (239)
+3.0%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
55.6% (9)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
33.3% (27)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Niedermayer shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Niedermayer is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Kelly
Niedermayer
Home
52.6% (1,965)
50.4% (135)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
43.3% (141)
By Period
Kelly
Niedermayer
P1
49.2%
51.8%
P2
49.1%
42.7%
P3
51.9%
46.5%
OT
53.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Niedermayer
44.0%▬
45.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2011 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Rob Niedermayer |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Rob Niedermayer |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 01:12 | Neutral | Rob Niedermayer |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Rob Niedermayer |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Rob Niedermayer |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 08:51 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |