Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Niedermayer on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.8% vs Niedermayer 47.6% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Niedermayer 73.0%
Defensive zone
Niedermayer 52.9%
Neutral zone
Niedermayer 57.9%
Result
Rob Niedermayer favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Kelly
Niedermayer
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kelly
Niedermayer
Last 7: Kelly 2-5 Niedermayer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Niedermayer
0
4
Kelly
Niedermayer
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Niedermayer
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Niedermayer
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (723)
48.1% (239)
+3.8%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
55.6% (9)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (166)
33.3% (27)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Niedermayer shoots left. Kelly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Kelly shoots left. Niedermayer is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Kelly
Niedermayer
Home
53.8% (442)
50.4% (135)
Away
48.1% (474)
43.3% (141)
By Period
Kelly
Niedermayer
P1
50.2%
51.8%
P2
47.6%
42.7%
P3
54.5%
46.5%
OT
85.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Niedermayer
44.0%▬
45.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2011 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Rob Niedermayer |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Rob Niedermayer |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 01:12 | Neutral | Rob Niedermayer |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Rob Niedermayer |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Rob Niedermayer |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 08:51 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |