Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Kelly wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Gionta 41.2% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 75.1%
Defensive zone
Kelly 74.6%
Neutral zone
Kelly 74.4%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Kelly
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Kelly
Gionta
Last 10: Kelly 6-4 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
0
2
Kelly
Gionta
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Gionta
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
2
Kelly
Gionta
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
40.6% (1,902)
+10.5%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
61.5% (26)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
40.1% (292)
+4.6%
On even strength, Kelly has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Kelly shoots left. Gionta is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,514).
Home / Away
Kelly
Gionta
Home
52.6% (1,965)
42.6% (1,074)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
39.1% (1,147)
By Period
Kelly
Gionta
P1
49.2%
40.8%
P2
49.1%
41.8%
P3
51.9%
39.8%
OT
53.5%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2015 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 1 | 11:34 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 16:39 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 18:12 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 18:04 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 00:10 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |