Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Ott 55.4% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Ott 65.6%
Defensive zone
Ott 64.1%
Neutral zone
Ott 59.2%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Kelly
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Kelly
Ott
Last 10: Kelly 4-6 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
1
Kelly
Ott
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
3
Kelly
Ott
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
1
3
Kelly
Ott
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
57.2% (2,802)
-6.1%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
55.4% (567)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
49.9% (853)
-5.2%
On even strength, Ott has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Kelly
Ott
Home
52.6% (1,965)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Kelly
Ott
P1
49.2%
56.7%
P2
49.1%
53.9%
P3
51.9%
55.7%
OT
53.5%
60.8%
Final 5 min
50.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 17, 2013 | OT | 04:56 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 3 | 09:57 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 08:57 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |