Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kelly wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 56.2% vs Ott 54.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 66.7%
Defensive zone
Kelly 52.7%
Neutral zone
Kelly 50.6%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Kelly
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kelly
Ott
Last 8: Kelly 5-3 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
1
Kelly
Ott
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kelly
Ott
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (298)
54.8% (305)
+3.9%
Power Play
100.0% (8)
56.8% (95)
+43.2%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (67)
57.0% (135)
-7.7%
On power play, Kelly has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Kelly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Kelly shoots left. Ott is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Kelly
Ott
Home
60.0% (200)
58.7% (271)
Away
55.5% (173)
52.7% (264)
By Period
Kelly
Ott
P1
55.9%
60.4%
P2
58.4%
54.0%
P3
60.9%
52.6%
OT
37.5%
65.0%
Final 5 min
60.0%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
57.9%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2013 | OT | 04:56 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 3 | 09:57 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |