Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 45.4% vs Bozak 56.2% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 69.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 78.8%
Neutral zone
Kelly 76.9%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Kelly
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kelly
Bozak
Last 5: Kelly 1-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Kelly
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Kelly
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (373)
56.5% (1,119)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (128)
50.0% (20)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Kelly is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Kelly shoots left. Bozak is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (910).
Home / Away
Kelly
Bozak
Home
47.5% (259)
60.1% (682)
Away
41.3% (242)
53.2% (684)
By Period
Kelly
Bozak
P1
46.7%
57.7%
P2
42.9%
53.7%
P3
43.4%
59.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 1 | 09:25 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |