Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Ennis 41.7% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 50.6%
Defensive zone
Kelly 87.3%
Neutral zone
Kelly 79.2%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Kelly
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Kelly
Ennis
Last 10: Kelly 8-2 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Ennis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
6
2
Kelly
Ennis
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Ennis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
40.7% (1,404)
+10.4%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
45.5% (167)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
38.1% (21)
+6.6%
On power play, Kelly has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Ennis is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (951).
Home / Away
Kelly
Ennis
Home
52.6% (1,965)
43.6% (834)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
38.4% (760)
By Period
Kelly
Ennis
P1
49.2%
39.4%
P2
49.1%
43.1%
P3
51.9%
41.7%
OT
53.5%
31.6%
Final 5 min
50.3%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 09:06 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 17, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 17:56 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 24, 2012 | OT | 02:38 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Tyler Ennis |