Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 45.4% vs Trocheck 50.2% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 61.9%
Defensive zone
Kelly 66.4%
Neutral zone
Kelly 63.6%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Kelly
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kelly
Trocheck
Last 6: Kelly 2-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Kelly
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
3
Kelly
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (373)
50.3% (1,280)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (128)
46.4% (183)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Kelly is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Kelly shoots left. Trocheck is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,044).
Home / Away
Kelly
Trocheck
Home
47.5% (259)
52.4% (828)
Away
41.3% (242)
48.0% (836)
By Period
Kelly
Trocheck
P1
46.7%
52.6%
P2
42.9%
50.9%
P3
43.4%
48.1%
Final 5 min
42.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.5%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 10:54 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 12:37 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 00:25 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |