Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Mueller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mueller 49.8% vs MacKenzie 57.2% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mueller 52.0%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 50.7%
Neutral zone
Mueller 52.2%
Result
Chris Mueller favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Mueller
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Mueller
MacKenzie
Last 9: Mueller 4-5 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mueller
3
0
Mueller
MacKenzie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
2
Mueller
MacKenzie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
3
Mueller
MacKenzie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mueller
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (171)
61.0% (264)
-11.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
100.0% (4)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
49.1% (55)
-2.9%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Mueller is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Mueller shoots right. MacKenzie is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Mueller
MacKenzie
Home
50.4% (129)
62.1% (145)
Away
48.2% (56)
57.3% (178)
By Period
Mueller
MacKenzie
P1
47.7%
51.6%
P2
50.8%
59.8%
P3
50.9%
65.8%
Final 5 min
46.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mueller
56.0%▲
51.5%
49.7%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Chris Mueller |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Chris Mueller |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 05:43 | Offensive | Chris Mueller |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Chris Mueller |