Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Mueller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Mueller wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mueller 49.2% vs Toews 56.3% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 93.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 70.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 86.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
Mueller
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Mueller
Toews
Last 5: Mueller 4-1 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Mueller
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mueller
4
0
Mueller
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mueller
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (88)
55.6% (1,125)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
57.4% (204)
-57.4%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +57.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Mueller is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Mueller shoots right. Toews is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Mueller
Toews
Home
50.0% (12)
59.8% (858)
Away
48.1% (77)
53.3% (795)
By Period
Mueller
Toews
P1
42.4%
58.7%
P2
50.0%
55.1%
P3
52.9%
56.5%
Final 5 min
52.6%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mueller
56.0%▲
51.5%
48.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Chris Mueller |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | Chris Mueller |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | Chris Mueller |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Chris Mueller |