Scouting Report
Chris Mueller holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Mueller on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mueller wins 68.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lapierre shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mueller 53.7% vs Lapierre 52.1% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mueller 70.5%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 71.1%
Neutral zone
Mueller 56.0%
Result
Chris Mueller favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Mueller
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Mueller
Lapierre
Last 5: Mueller 3-2 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
0
1
Mueller
Lapierre
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mueller
3
1
Mueller
Lapierre
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mueller
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (51)
53.9% (440)
-2.9%
Power Play
92.3% (13)
80.0% (5)
+12.3%
On power play, Mueller has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Mueller is 68.0% vs right-shot opponents (25).
Mueller shoots right. Lapierre is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Home / Away
Mueller
Lapierre
Home
68.3% (41)
59.2% (260)
Away
43.5% (23)
46.9% (322)
By Period
Mueller
Lapierre
P1
60.0%
52.0%
P2
75.0%
51.5%
P3
42.9%
53.3%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
64.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mueller
56.0%▲
51.5%
59.4%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2014 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 3, 2014 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 3, 2014 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Chris Mueller |
| Nov 3, 2014 | 1 | 01:50 | Neutral | Chris Mueller |
| Nov 3, 2014 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Chris Mueller |