Scouting Report
Chris Mueller holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mueller 51.4% vs Smith 48.7% (+3.2%)
Offensive zone
Smith 55.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 55.9%
Neutral zone
Mueller 52.1%
Result
Trevor Smith favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Mueller
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mueller
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (388)
49.0% (769)
+2.0%
Power Play
81.3% (16)
63.6% (22)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
42.4% (118)
-2.4%
On power play, Mueller has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Mueller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (317).
Mueller shoots right. Smith is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Mueller
Smith
Home
56.2% (219)
52.4% (490)
Away
47.0% (200)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Mueller
Smith
P1
47.6%
46.9%
P2
57.9%
51.2%
P3
50.0%
47.7%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mueller
56.0%▲
51.5%
51.8%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%