Scouting Report
Chris Thorburn holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Thorburn wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Boyce shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 53.0% vs Boyce 48.1% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thorburn 77.8%
Defensive zone
Boyce 50.1%
Neutral zone
Thorburn 57.3%
Result
Chris Thorburn favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Thorburn
Boyce
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Thorburn
Boyce
Last 5: Thorburn 3-2 Boyce
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thorburn
2
0
Thorburn
Boyce
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyce
0
2
Thorburn
Boyce
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thorburn
1
0
Thorburn
Boyce
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
Boyce
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (504)
47.8% (561)
+8.0%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
45.5% (22)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (91)
44.8% (29)
-1.9%
On even strength, Thorburn has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyce shoots left. Thorburn is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Thorburn shoots right. Boyce is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Thorburn
Boyce
Home
55.7% (305)
52.2% (322)
Away
51.3% (308)
43.0% (298)
By Period
Thorburn
Boyce
P1
54.9%
49.8%
P2
55.1%
48.6%
P3
51.1%
44.6%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
53.5%
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 12:47 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 00:11 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Thorburn |