Scouting Report
Chris Thorburn holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 49.9% vs Boyce 47.0% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thorburn 53.4%
Defensive zone
Thorburn 57.3%
Neutral zone
Thorburn 53.0%
Result
Chris Thorburn favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Thorburn
Boyce
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Thorburn
Boyce
Last 5: Thorburn 3-2 Boyce
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thorburn
2
0
Thorburn
Boyce
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyce
0
2
Thorburn
Boyce
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thorburn
1
0
Thorburn
Boyce
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
Boyce
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (171)
46.7% (424)
+6.5%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
47.1% (17)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (71)
22.2% (9)
+20.1%
On penalty kill, Thorburn has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyce shoots left. Thorburn is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Thorburn shoots right. Boyce is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Thorburn
Boyce
Home
52.1% (119)
51.5% (239)
Away
47.7% (132)
40.8% (218)
By Period
Thorburn
Boyce
P1
45.3%
47.7%
P2
53.8%
46.5%
P3
51.3%
44.8%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
49.8%
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 12:47 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 00:11 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Thorburn |