Scouting Report
Chris Thorburn holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thorburn on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thorburn wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 53.0% vs Staal 50.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thorburn 53.9%
Defensive zone
Thorburn 51.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 54.2%
Result
Chris Thorburn favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Thorburn
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Thorburn
Staal
Last 10: Thorburn 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thorburn
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thorburn
3
1
Thorburn
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Thorburn
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (504)
50.5% (10,347)
+5.3%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
53.5% (2,023)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (91)
44.2% (781)
-1.3%
On power play, Staal has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Thorburn is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Thorburn shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Home / Away
Thorburn
Staal
Home
55.7% (305)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
51.3% (308)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Thorburn
Staal
P1
54.9%
50.0%
P2
55.1%
51.1%
P3
51.1%
50.4%
OT
20.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
53.5%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 19:58 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 3 | 00:39 | Defensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Eric Staal |