Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 49.8%). Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 49.9% vs Richards 49.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thorburn 56.2%
Defensive zone
Thorburn 59.7%
Neutral zone
Thorburn 55.3%
Result
Chris Thorburn favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Thorburn
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Thorburn
Richards
Last 9: Thorburn 3-6 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
3
Thorburn
Richards
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
2
3
Thorburn
Richards
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (171)
47.9% (943)
+5.3%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
61.1% (157)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (71)
52.9% (102)
-10.6%
On power play, Richards has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Thorburn is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Thorburn shoots right. Richards is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (448).
Home / Away
Thorburn
Richards
Home
52.1% (119)
50.9% (617)
Away
47.7% (132)
48.7% (599)
By Period
Thorburn
Richards
P1
45.3%
45.4%
P2
53.8%
52.5%
P3
51.3%
51.3%
OT
20.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
49.8%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Chris Thorburn |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 2 | 17:34 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Chris Thorburn |