Scouting Report
Chris Thorburn holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gomez on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thorburn wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 53.0% vs Gomez 48.2% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gomez 55.1%
Defensive zone
Gomez 56.2%
Neutral zone
Gomez 60.5%
Result
Scott Gomez favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Thorburn
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Thorburn
Gomez
Last 5: Thorburn 2-3 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
1
3
Thorburn
Gomez
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thorburn
1
0
Thorburn
Gomez
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (504)
47.9% (2,814)
+7.9%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
50.6% (516)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (91)
36.5% (74)
+6.4%
On even strength, Thorburn has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Thorburn is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Thorburn shoots right. Gomez is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,238).
Home / Away
Thorburn
Gomez
Home
55.7% (305)
49.8% (1,767)
Away
51.3% (308)
46.3% (1,667)
By Period
Thorburn
Gomez
P1
54.9%
48.6%
P2
55.1%
48.2%
P3
51.1%
47.5%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
53.5%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Chris Thorburn |