Scouting Report
Chris Thorburn holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gomez on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 49.9% vs Gomez 48.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gomez 71.2%
Defensive zone
Thorburn 62.9%
Neutral zone
Gomez 57.4%
Result
Scott Gomez favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Thorburn
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Thorburn
Gomez
Last 5: Thorburn 2-3 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
1
3
Thorburn
Gomez
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thorburn
1
0
Thorburn
Gomez
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (171)
47.9% (900)
+5.3%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
50.2% (219)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (71)
36.8% (57)
+5.5%
On power play, Gomez has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Thorburn is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Thorburn shoots right. Gomez is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (448).
Home / Away
Thorburn
Gomez
Home
52.1% (119)
51.1% (611)
Away
47.7% (132)
44.9% (586)
By Period
Thorburn
Gomez
P1
45.3%
50.8%
P2
53.8%
48.5%
P3
51.3%
44.7%
OT
20.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
40.7%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
49.8%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Chris Thorburn |