Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 54.3%). Look for Zajac on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Thorburn wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 53.0% vs Zajac 54.2% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thorburn 75.9%
Defensive zone
Zajac 51.9%
Neutral zone
Thorburn 54.3%
Result
Chris Thorburn favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Thorburn
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Thorburn
Zajac
Last 9: Thorburn 3-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
4
Thorburn
Zajac
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thorburn
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thorburn
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (504)
54.4% (9,056)
+1.4%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
59.1% (1,498)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (91)
48.6% (1,599)
-5.7%
On power play, Zajac has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Thorburn is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Thorburn shoots right. Zajac is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,011).
Home / Away
Thorburn
Zajac
Home
55.7% (305)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
51.3% (308)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Thorburn
Zajac
P1
54.9%
53.8%
P2
55.1%
55.6%
P3
51.1%
53.6%
OT
20.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
53.5%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Thorburn |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |