Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Thorburn wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 49.9% vs Zajac 54.9% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thorburn 72.2%
Defensive zone
Thorburn 75.0%
Neutral zone
Thorburn 73.0%
Result
Chris Thorburn favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Thorburn
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Thorburn
Zajac
Last 8: Thorburn 2-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
4
Thorburn
Zajac
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thorburn
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Thorburn
Zajac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (171)
53.9% (958)
-0.7%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
67.1% (146)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (71)
52.5% (139)
-10.2%
On power play, Zajac has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Thorburn is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Thorburn shoots right. Zajac is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Thorburn
Zajac
Home
52.1% (119)
55.5% (627)
Away
47.7% (132)
55.1% (651)
By Period
Thorburn
Zajac
P1
45.3%
51.7%
P2
53.8%
58.5%
P3
51.3%
56.0%
OT
20.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
40.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
49.8%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2011 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |