Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 53.5%). Thorburn wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 53.0% vs Bozak 53.4% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thorburn 56.6%
Defensive zone
Bozak 56.6%
Neutral zone
Bozak 54.8%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Thorburn
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Thorburn
Bozak
Last 6: Thorburn 3-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Thorburn
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thorburn
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thorburn
1
0
Thorburn
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (504)
53.7% (9,596)
+2.1%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
55.2% (1,990)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (91)
48.0% (1,094)
-5.1%
On power play, Bozak has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Thorburn is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Thorburn shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Thorburn
Bozak
Home
55.7% (305)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
51.3% (308)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Thorburn
Bozak
P1
54.9%
53.2%
P2
55.1%
52.8%
P3
51.1%
54.5%
OT
20.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
47.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
53.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2012 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 03:04 | Defensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Thorburn |
| Dec 20, 2010 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |