Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.7% vs 45.9%). Look for Legwand on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tierney wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Legwand shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Legwand 46.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Legwand 60.6%
Defensive zone
Tierney 66.4%
Neutral zone
Legwand 57.2%
Result
David Legwand favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Tierney
Legwand
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Tierney
Legwand
Last 5: Tierney 2-3 Legwand
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Legwand
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Legwand
1
3
Tierney
Legwand
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Legwand
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (648)
46.8% (357)
-1.1%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
66.7% (3)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (145)
40.3% (67)
+3.8%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Legwand shoots left. Tierney is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Tierney shoots left. Legwand is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Tierney
Legwand
Home
48.5% (394)
46.2% (236)
Away
43.1% (411)
45.5% (191)
By Period
Tierney
Legwand
P1
48.7%
42.3%
P2
49.0%
46.0%
P3
40.6%
51.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.7%
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 2 | 06:00 | Neutral | David Legwand |