Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 48.7% vs Caggiula 43.5% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 68.1%
Defensive zone
Tierney 90.2%
Neutral zone
Tierney 81.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Tierney
Caggiula
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Tierney
Caggiula
Last 7: Tierney 5-2 Caggiula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
1
Tierney
Caggiula
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
0
Tierney
Caggiula
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Caggiula
0
1
Tierney
Caggiula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Caggiula
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (675)
40.6% (276)
+8.6%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
66.7% (6)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (130)
50.0% (2)
-6.2%
On power play, Caggiula has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Caggiula shoots left. Tierney is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Tierney shoots left. Caggiula is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Tierney
Caggiula
Home
50.7% (420)
46.9% (145)
Away
46.3% (406)
35.3% (139)
By Period
Tierney
Caggiula
P1
45.2%
41.1%
P2
50.0%
40.2%
P3
50.8%
43.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
48.5%
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 15:10 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 05:40 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |