Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 50.8% vs Strome 48.5% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 78.9%
Defensive zone
Strome 55.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 69.6%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Tierney
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Tierney
Strome
Last 8: Tierney 2-6 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Tierney
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
3
Tierney
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (844)
47.3% (829)
+4.8%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
69.0% (58)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
20.0% (10)
+22.7%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Tierney is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Tierney shoots left. Strome is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Home / Away
Tierney
Strome
Home
51.2% (521)
49.8% (468)
Away
50.6% (522)
46.9% (429)
By Period
Tierney
Strome
P1
49.3%
46.1%
P2
50.4%
52.9%
P3
53.4%
46.3%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 05:07 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 15:29 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |