Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.1%). Look for McKegg on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs McKegg 49.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
McKegg leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
McKegg 50.7%
Defensive zone
Tierney 52.0%
Neutral zone
McKegg 51.5%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Tierney
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Tierney
McKegg
Last 10: Tierney 5-5 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
2
Tierney
McKegg
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Tierney
McKegg
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
3
5
Tierney
McKegg
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
49.1% (1,143)
+0.2%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
50.0% (24)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
48.8% (86)
-2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Tierney
McKegg
Home
50.6% (3,270)
50.4% (554)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
48.1% (699)
By Period
Tierney
McKegg
P1
49.3%
48.7%
P2
47.7%
49.9%
P3
50.5%
48.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 05:55 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 1 | 17:20 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 02:32 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 12:14 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |